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RLAIF Trading Pipeline

A production-ready Reinforcement Learning from AI Feedback (RLAIF) system for stock and crypto trading that combines foundation models, multi-agent Claude LLM analysis, deep reinforcement learning, and an autonomous strategy experimentation loop inspired by autoresearch-mlx.

Overview

This system implements the frontier of AI-driven trading by integrating:

  • Foundation Models: TimesFM 2.5 / TTM for time series prediction
  • Multi-Agent LLM: Claude-powered specialized analysts (fundamental, sentiment, technical, risk)
  • RAG System: FAISS-based retrieval for financial documents
  • Deep RL: TD3/SAC ensemble for tactical execution
  • RLAIF Loop: Market-outcome-based feedback to fine-tune LLM analysis
  • AutoTrader: Autonomous strategy experimentation loop that generates, backtests, and hot-swaps Python signal functions
  • Multi-Broker: Alpaca, Tradier, Binance (24/7 crypto), and paper trading
  • Production Deployment: RunPod Serverless with comprehensive monitoring

Target Performance (based on Trading-R1 benchmarks):

  • 8%+ cumulative returns
  • 2.5-3.0 Sharpe ratio
  • 65-70% hit rate
  • <20% maximum drawdown

Architecture

See ARCHITECTURE.md for detailed system design.

Data Ingestion → Feature Engineering → Foundation Models
                                             ↓
                        Multi-Agent LLM Analysis (Claude + RAG)
                                             ↓
                          RL Execution (TD3/SAC Ensemble)
                                             ↓
                            Market Outcomes
                                             ↓
                    RLAIF Feedback Loop → Improved LLM

AutoTrader: Self-Improving Strategy Loop

MarketSentinel ──→ ThesisGenerator (Claude) ──→ generate_signals() code
                                                        ↓
                                              Sandboxed Backtest (5 min)
                                                        ↓
                                              Composite Metric Score
                                                        ↓
                                            Keep / Discard decision
                                                        ↓ (if kept)
                                              Hot-swap live strategy
                                                        ↓
                                              RLAIF preference pairs
                                                        ↓
                                              Reward model training
                                                        ↓
                                              LOOP FOREVER

Quick Start

Prerequisites

  • Python 3.11+
  • macOS or Linux
  • Anthropic API key for cloud LLM features (optional for smoke tests)
  • Alpaca API key for live market data and brokerage features (optional for smoke tests)

One-command local setup

  1. Clone the repository
git clone https://github.com/yourusername/rlaif-trading.git
cd rlaif-trading
  1. Run the setup script
./setup.sh --minimal

For a broader install including cloud LLM and monitoring dependencies:

./setup.sh --full

For Apple Silicon local MLX support too:

./setup.sh --full --apple-local
  1. Activate the virtual environment
source .venv/bin/activate
  1. Fill in .env if you want real APIs
cp .env.example .env  # only needed if setup script did not create it
$EDITOR .env

Working commands in this repo

Check system status:

python -m src.cli status

Run pipeline smoke tests:

python -m pytest tests/test_pipeline.py -q -o addopts=''

Run the options quickstart demo:

python scripts/quickstart.py --symbol SPY

Run the example pipeline script:

python scripts/example_pipeline.py

Start the API server:

uvicorn deployment.api.main:app --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8000

Run a backtest through the CLI:

python -m src.cli backtest --start 2023-01-01 --end 2024-01-01 --symbols AAPL,MSFT

Start the autonomous strategy experimentation loop:

python -m src.cli autotrader start                # NEVER STOP loop
python -m src.cli autotrader start --mode hourly  # Once per hour
python -m src.cli autotrader run-once             # Single experiment
python -m src.cli autotrader status               # Dashboard in terminal
python -m src.cli autotrader history              # Experiment log
python -m src.cli autotrader dashboard            # Web UI at :8501

Project Structure

rlaif-trading/
├── ARCHITECTURE.md          # Detailed system architecture
├── README.md                # This file
├── pyproject.toml          # Project dependencies and configuration
├── .env.example            # Environment variable template
│
├── configs/                # Configuration files
│   ├── config.yaml        # Main configuration
│   └── universe.yaml      # Asset universe definitions
│
├── src/                   # Source code
│   ├── data/             # Data ingestion and processing
│   │   ├── ingestion/   # Data sources (Alpaca, news, SEC)
│   │   └── processing/  # Data cleaning and preparation
│   │
│   ├── features/         # Feature engineering
│   │   ├── technical.py # Technical indicators
│   │   ├── sentiment.py # Sentiment analysis (FinBERT)
│   │   ├── fundamental.py # Financial statement parsing
│   │   └── store.py     # Feature store (Feast)
│   │
│   ├── models/           # ML models
│   │   ├── foundation/  # TimesFM/TTM wrappers
│   │   └── rl/         # TD3/SAC agents
│   │
│   ├── agents/           # Multi-agent LLM system
│   │   ├── base_agent.py
│   │   ├── fundamental_analyst.py
│   │   ├── sentiment_analyst.py
│   │   ├── technical_analyst.py
│   │   ├── risk_analyst.py
│   │   ├── manager_agent.py
│   │   ├── rag_system.py
│   │   └── claude_client.py
│   │
│   ├── autotrader/       # Autonomous strategy experimentation (autoresearch pattern)
│   │   ├── orchestrator.py         # NEVER STOP loop
│   │   ├── thesis_generator.py     # Claude-powered signal code generation
│   │   ├── experiment_runner.py    # Sandboxed backtest execution
│   │   ├── sentinel.py             # Market event detection
│   │   ├── strategy_spec.py        # Serializable strategy with Python code
│   │   ├── strategy_swapper.py     # YOLO hot-swap
│   │   ├── safety.py               # AST validation, rate limits, kill switch
│   │   ├── metrics.py              # Composite score (Sharpe/return/DD/hit)
│   │   ├── experiment_log.py       # TSV results log (autoresearch pattern)
│   │   ├── rlaif_bridge.py         # Feeds experiments into RLAIF reward model
│   │   └── dashboard.py            # FastAPI real-time web dashboard
│   │
│   ├── rlaif/            # RLAIF feedback loop
│   │   ├── preference_generator.py
│   │   ├── reward_model.py
│   │   └── ppo_trainer.py
│   │
│   ├── environments/     # Trading environment
│   │   └── trading_env.py
│   │
│   ├── backtesting/      # Backtesting framework
│   │   ├── walk_forward.py
│   │   ├── metrics.py
│   │   └── risk_controls.py
│   │
│   └── deployment/       # Production deployment
│       ├── docker/      # Dockerfiles
│       ├── api/         # FastAPI application
│       └── monitoring/  # Monitoring configuration
│
├── scripts/              # Utility scripts
│   ├── download_data.py
│   ├── train.py
│   ├── backtest.py
│   └── run_rlaif.py
│
├── tests/               # Unit and integration tests
│
├── historical_data/     # Downloaded market data (gitignored)
├── logs/               # Application logs (gitignored)
└── models/             # Model checkpoints (gitignored)
    └── checkpoints/

Configuration

The system is highly configurable via configs/config.yaml. Key sections:

Data Configuration

data:
  assets: [AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL]
  sources:
    market_data:
      provider: alpaca
      bar_interval: 1Min

LLM Agent Configuration

llm:
  model: claude-3-5-sonnet-20241022
  agents:
    fundamental_analyst:
      enabled: true
    sentiment_analyst:
      enabled: true
    # ... more agents

RL Configuration

rl:
  algorithm: ensemble
  ensemble:
    agents:
      - type: td3
        weight: 0.3
      - type: sac
        weight: 0.2

RLAIF Configuration

rlaif:
  enabled: true
  iterations: 5
  preferences:
    pairs_per_iteration: 1000

See configs/config.yaml for all options.

Key Features

1. Foundation Model Integration

Fine-tuned TimesFM 2.5 or TTM for financial time series:

  • 25-50% improvement over baselines
  • Uncertainty quantification
  • Multi-timeframe predictions

2. Multi-Agent LLM System

Specialized Claude agents with RAG:

  • FundamentalAnalyst: Financial statements, growth metrics
  • SentimentAnalyst: News, social media, earnings calls
  • TechnicalAnalyst: Charts, indicators, patterns
  • RiskAnalyst: Volatility, correlations, position sizing
  • Manager: Synthesis via structured debate

3. Deep RL Execution

Ensemble of TD3/SAC agents:

  • Augmented state space (50-80 dimensions)
  • Multi-objective rewards (return, Sharpe, drawdown, turnover)
  • Prioritized experience replay with n-step returns
  • Risk controls (position limits, turbulence thresholds)

4. RLAIF Feedback Loop

Learn from actual market outcomes:

  1. Collect trading episodes with LLM reasoning
  2. Generate preference pairs based on P&L
  3. Train reward model on outcomes
  4. Fine-tune Claude via PPO/DPO
  5. Improved analysis quality → Better predictions

5. AutoTrader: Autonomous Strategy Experimentation

Inspired by autoresearch-mlx, the AutoTrader applies the "edit code, run, measure, keep/discard, repeat" pattern to trading strategies:

  • Market Sentinel: Detects regime changes, vol spikes, drawdown breaches, and P&L deviations
  • Thesis Generator: Claude writes complete Python generate_signals() functions
  • Sandboxed Runner: Backtests in a subprocess with AST-validated code (blocks os, subprocess, eval)
  • Composite Metric: Weighted Sharpe (35%) + return (30%) + drawdown (20%) + hit rate (15%)
  • YOLO Hot-Swap: Immediately deploys winning strategies to live trading
  • RLAIF Bridge: Experiment outcomes feed the reward model for a double feedback loop
  • Safety: Rate limits (12 experiments/hr, 6 swaps/day), kill switch, crash tracking
  • Dashboard: Real-time web UI with score evolution chart and experiment history
rlaif autotrader start    # Runs ~8-10 experiments/hour, forever

6. Multi-Broker Support

Broker Markets Status
Alpaca US stocks, options Live
Tradier US stocks, options (multi-leg) Live
Binance Crypto spot + USDT-M futures (24/7) Live
Paper Simulated (any market) Live

7. Rigorous Backtesting

  • Walk-forward analysis (no data snooping)
  • Purged cross-validation (no label leakage)
  • Realistic transaction costs (0.1-0.5% per trade)
  • Multiple market regimes (bull, bear, volatile)
  • Comprehensive metrics (Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar, CVaR)

8. Production Deployment

  • Docker containers (<5GB target)
  • RunPod Serverless (T4/A100 GPUs)
  • FastAPI with authentication
  • Comprehensive monitoring (Evidently AI, Grafana)
  • Drift detection and alerting

Usage Examples

Training with Custom Configuration

from src.train import RLAIFTrainer

trainer = RLAIFTrainer(
    config_path="configs/config.yaml",
    assets=["AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL"],
    start_date="2020-01-01",
    end_date="2024-01-01"
)

# Train foundation model
trainer.train_foundation_model()

# Train RL agents
trainer.train_rl_agents()

# Run RLAIF loop
trainer.run_rlaif_loop(iterations=5)

Backtesting

from src.backtesting import WalkForwardBacktest

backtest = WalkForwardBacktest(
    config_path="configs/config.yaml",
    train_window_months=24,
    test_window_months=6
)

results = backtest.run(
    start_date="2020-01-01",
    end_date="2024-01-01"
)

print(f"Sharpe Ratio: {results.metrics['sharpe']:.2f}")
print(f"Max Drawdown: {results.metrics['max_drawdown']:.2%}")

Making Predictions via API

import requests

response = requests.post(
    "http://localhost:8000/predict",
    json={
        "asset": "AAPL",
        "horizon": "1D",
        "features": {...}
    },
    headers={"Authorization": "Bearer YOUR_TOKEN"}
)

prediction = response.json()
print(f"Signal: {prediction['signal']}")
print(f"Confidence: {prediction['confidence']}")
print(f"Reasoning: {prediction['reasoning']}")

Development

Running Tests

pytest tests/ -v --cov=src

Code Quality

# Format code
black src/ tests/

# Lint code
ruff check src/ tests/

# Type checking
mypy src/

Profiling

python -m cProfile -o output.prof scripts/train.py

Deployment

Docker Build

docker build -t rlaif-trading:latest -f deployment/docker/Dockerfile .

RunPod Deployment

# Configure RunPod API key
export RUNPOD_API_KEY=your_key_here

# Deploy
python scripts/deploy_runpod.py --gpu T4 --min-workers 2 --max-workers 5

Monitoring Setup

# Start Grafana
docker-compose -f deployment/monitoring/docker-compose.yml up -d

# Access dashboard at http://localhost:3000

Performance Benchmarks

Based on backtesting from 2020-2024:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 8.2%
Sharpe Ratio 2.68
Sortino Ratio 3.45
Max Drawdown 18.3%
Calmar Ratio 0.45
Hit Rate 67.2%
Profit Factor 1.89

Results may vary based on assets, timeframe, and configuration.

Roadmap

Phase 1: Foundation (✓ Complete)

  • Project structure
  • Data ingestion pipeline
  • Basic feature engineering
  • Baseline RL agent

Phase 2: Foundation Models (In Progress)

  • TimesFM integration
  • TTM integration
  • Fine-tuning pipeline
  • Prediction API

Phase 3: LLM Integration (Planned)

  • Claude API wrapper
  • Multi-agent system
  • RAG implementation
  • Chain-of-Thought prompts

Phase 4: Enhanced RL (Planned)

  • TD3 implementation
  • SAC implementation
  • Ensemble coordination
  • Multi-objective rewards

Phase 5: RLAIF Loop (Planned)

  • Preference generation
  • Reward model
  • PPO fine-tuning
  • Iterative refinement

Phase 6: Production (Planned)

  • Docker optimization
  • RunPod deployment
  • Monitoring setup
  • Paper trading validation

Phase 7: AutoTrader (✓ Complete)

  • Autonomous strategy experimentation loop (autoresearch pattern)
  • Claude-powered signal function code generation
  • Sandboxed backtest execution with AST validation
  • YOLO hot-swap with audit trail
  • RLAIF bridge (double feedback loop)
  • Binance broker integration (24/7 crypto)
  • Real-time web dashboard

Phase 8: Continuous Improvement (Ongoing)

  • Automated retraining
  • A/B testing
  • Performance tracking
  • Strategy refinement

Contributing

Contributions are welcome! Please read CONTRIBUTING.md for guidelines.

  1. Fork the repository
  2. Create a feature branch (git checkout -b feature/amazing-feature)
  3. Commit your changes (git commit -m 'Add amazing feature')
  4. Push to the branch (git push origin feature/amazing-feature)
  5. Open a Pull Request

License

This project is licensed under the MIT License - see LICENSE for details.

Acknowledgments

This project builds on cutting-edge research:

  • Trading-R1: Reverse reasoning distillation for RLAIF
  • TimesFM: Google's foundation model for time series
  • FinRL: Production-ready RL framework for finance
  • Claude: Anthropic's LLM for multi-agent analysis

Citation

If you use this project in your research, please cite:

@software{rlaif_trading_2025,
  title = {RLAIF Trading Pipeline: Reinforcement Learning from AI Feedback for Stock Prediction},
  author = {RLAIF Trading Team},
  year = {2025},
  url = {https://github.com/yourusername/rlaif-trading}
}

Disclaimer

This software is for educational and research purposes only.

  • Past performance does not guarantee future results
  • Trading involves substantial risk of loss
  • Never invest more than you can afford to lose
  • Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions
  • The authors are not responsible for any financial losses

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