Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election
In the run-up to the Next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 22 March 2026, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one.[1]
Pollsters
Public opinion polls on voting intention in Slovenia are mainly conducted regularly by five agencies:
- Mediana, which conducts separate public opinion polls for the newspaper Delo, RTV Slovenia and for the television channel POP TV and its respective multimedia web portal 24ur.com;
- Ninamedia, which conducts the Vox Populi public opinion polls for the newspaper Dnevnik and Večer;
- Parsifal SC, which conducts public opinion polls for the conservative news media enterprise Nova24TV, owned by members of right-wing SDS;
- Research Center IJEK, which conducts the Pulse of Society public opinion polls and is the think tank of centre-right NSi;
- Valicon, which conducts polls for Siol.net.
Graphical summary
The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the main political parties in the polling average since last parliamentary election. The graph shows the average vote share of each party, excluding undecided voters.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded. When available, seat projections for 88 out of 90 seats (without seats reserved for minorities) are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 46 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The dates of when the poll was conducted are given when available, otherwise, the date of publication is listed.
2026
| Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | GS | SDS | NSF | SD | DEM | LV | RES | PVP | PIR | SNS | MI! | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–13 May | Ninamedia[2] | Dnevnik | 700 | 28.9 | 25.0 | 11.5[a] | 9.3 | 3.2 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| 8–12 May | Valicon[3] | Siol | 1,527 | 25.4 | 25.0 | 8.9 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.8[b] | 0.4 |
| 5–7 May | Mediana[4] | Delo | 718 | 29.7 | 28.7 | 10.8 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | ― | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 24 Apr | Former speaker of the National Assembly Urška Klakočar Zupančič quits Freedom Movement[5] | |||||||||||||||
| 21–23 Apr | Mediana[6] | POP | 722 | 28.0 | 29.2 | 10.4 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 2.9 | ― | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 13–15 Apr | Ninamedia[7] | Dnevnik | 700 | 29.3 | 27.9 | 8.7[c] | 7.3 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | ― | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 1–10 Apr | IJEK[9] | N/A | 675 | 26.4 | 28.1 | 10.9 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.6[d] | 1.7 |
| 10 Apr | Zoran Stevanović is elected as speaker of the National Assembly | |||||||||||||||
| 7–9 Apr | Mediana[10] | Delo | 700 | 27.6 | 27.0 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 3.5 | ― | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 23 Mar | Pavel Rupar abandons Voice of Pensioners, the party dissolves | |||||||||||||||
| 22 Mar | Election results | 1,179,769 | 28.7 | 27.9 | 9.3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 5.7[e] | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.6[f] | 0.8 |
Notes;
- ^ Combined result of N.Si and SLS
- ^ 0.9 - Alternative for Slovenia
0.9 - Voice of Pensioners (polled, despite dissolving) - ^ Polled as New Slovenia not as the NSi, SLS, FOKUS alliance [8]
- ^ 0.6 - Greens of Slovenia and Party of Generations
0.6 - Alternative for Slovenia - ^ As part of Levica and Vesna
- ^ 0.5 - Greens of Slovenia and Party of Generations
0.4 - Alternative for Slovenia
0.4 - Voice of Pensioners
0.3 - Karl Erjavec - Trust Party
0.0 - Unity
0.0 - Solution - Party of Pensioners Velenje, Slovenia
Seat projection
46 seats needed for a majority.
MRP polls
| Month published |
Pollster | Client | GS | SDS | NSF | SD | DEM | LV | RES | Others[a] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | Ninamedia[11] | Dnevnik | 29 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Apr 2026 | IJEK[12] | N/A | 27 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Apr 2026 | Odmev[13] | N/A | 26 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Mar 2026 | 2026 Election | 29 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Leaders' ratings
Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 1 to 5. The results are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninamedia | 11–13 May 2026 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.2 |
Notes
References
- ^ "Legislationline". www.legislationline.org. Archived from the original on 2018-05-03. Retrieved 2016-07-05.
- ^ "Demokrati bi šli v zgodovino, Levica z največjim skokom; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
- ^ "Kaj bi bilo drugače, če bi bile volitve še enkrat?; siol.net". siol.net.
- ^ "Kakšen bi bil izid, če bi volili še enkrat?; delo.si". delo.si.
- ^ "Urška Klakočar Zupančič izstopila iz Gibanja Svoboda". rtvslo.si.
- ^ "Povolilno javno mnenje: noben blok ne bi dobil večine". 24ur.com.
- ^ "Nezadovoljni z izidom volitev, a bi spet volili enako; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
- ^ "Nezadovoljni z izidom volitev, a bi spet volili enako; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
- ^ "Najbolj lojalno volilno bazo imata SDS in SD; ijeka.si". ijek.si.
- ^ "Najbolj lojalno volilno bazo imata SDS in SD; delo.si". delo.si.
- ^ "Anketa: 70 odstotkov volivcev nezadovoljnih z izidi, preverite, kakšen bi bil rezultat volitev, če bi volili sedaj". vecer.com. April 15, 2026.
- ^ "Utrip družbe, april 2026" (PDF). ijek.si. March 20, 2026.
- ^ "Sam svoj mandatar". siol.net. March 20, 2026.