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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Roger Wicker Ty Pinkins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 763,420 451,981
Percentage 62.81% 37.19%

Wicker:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Pinkins:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election

Roger Wicker
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Roger Wicker
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Senator Roger Wicker took office on December 31, 2007, as an interim appointee after Trent Lott resigned 13 days prior. Wicker retained his Senate seat in the subsequent 2008 special election, won full terms in 2012 and 2018, and sought a third full term. Primary elections took place on March 12, 2024.

Mississippi has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1989. Wicker easily won re-election to a third full term.[1] Wicker improved on his performance and flipped Issaquena, Jasper, and Marshall Counties from 2018.


Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ghannon Burton (R) $212,429[a] $207,927 $4,501
Dan Eubanks (R) $52,717[b] $52,717 $0
Roger Wicker (R) $8,139,009 $6,397,660 $3,593,927
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Results

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Results by county
Map legend
  •   Wicker—40-50%
  •   Wicker—50–60%
  •   Wicker—60–70%
  •   Wicker—70–80%
  •   Wicker—80–90%
  •   Wicker—≥90%
  •   Burton—50–60%
  •   Burton—60–70%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 152,086 61.40%
Republican Ghannon Burton 61,387 24.78%
Republican Dan Eubanks 34,238 13.82%
Total votes 247,711 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ty Pinkins (D) $324,980 $189,792 $135,188
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Results

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Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ty Pinkins 82,264 100.0%
Total votes 82,264 100.0%

Independents

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Filed paperwork

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[20] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[22] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[23] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[24] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[25] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[26] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[27] Solid R October 23, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Roger
Wicker (R)
Ty
Pinkins (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[28][A] September 29 – October 3, 2024 565 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 35% 7%[d] 10%

Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R) $8,610,740 $6,794,208 $3,669,111
Ty Pinkins (D) $499,484 $447,377 $52,107
Source: Federal Election Commission[29]

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi[30]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 763,420 62.81% +4.32%
Democratic Ty Pinkins 451,981 37.19% −2.28%
Total votes 1,215,401 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

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County[31][32] Roger Wicker
Republican
Ty Pinkins
Democratic
Margin Total
# % # % # %
Adams 5,219 44.31% 6,560 55.69% -1,341 -11.38% 11,779
Alcorn 12,576 84.65% 2,280 15.35% 10,296 69.31% 14,856
Amite 4,514 66.30% 2,294 33.70% 2,220 32.61% 6,808
Attala 4,753 62.16% 2,894 37.84% 1,859 24.31% 7,647
Benton 2,522 66.33% 1,280 33.67% 1,242 32.67% 3,802
Bolivar 4,101 39.81% 6,200 60.19% -2,099 -20.38% 10,301
Calhoun 4,402 74.43% 1,512 25.57% 2,890 48.87% 5,914
Carroll 3,746 73.11% 1,378 26.89% 2,368 46.21% 5,124
Chickasaw 4,121 57.68% 3,023 42.32% 1,098 15.37% 7,144
Choctaw 2,866 75.36% 937 24.64% 1,929 50.72% 3,803
Claiborne 719 20.19% 2,843 79.81% -2,124 -59.63% 3,562
Clarke 5,151 68.67% 2,350 31.33% 2,801 37.34% 7,501
Clay 4,228 46.39% 4,886 53.61% -658 -7.22% 9,114
Coahoma 2,146 32.13% 4,533 67.87% -2,387 -35.74% 6,679
Copiah 6,388 54.72% 5,287 45.28% 1,101 9.43% 11,675
Covington 5,924 67.30% 2,879 32.70% 3,045 34.59% 8,803
DeSoto 49,073 62.92% 28,914 37.08% 20,159 25.85% 77,987
Forrest 17,104 60.38% 11,221 39.62% 5,883 20.77% 28,325
Franklin 2,852 70.33% 1,203 29.67% 1,649 40.67% 4,055
George 9,662 88.82% 1,216 11.18% 8,446 77.64% 10,878
Greene 4,712 84.10% 891 15.90% 3,821 68.20% 5,603
Grenada 5,689 58.78% 3,989 41.22% 1,700 17.57% 9,678
Hancock 16,797 80.36% 4,104 19.64% 12,693 60.73% 20,901
Harrison 49,863 66.35% 25,289 33.65% 24,574 32.70% 75,152
Hinds 25,901 29.93% 60,625 70.07% -34,724 -40.13% 86,526
Holmes 1,456 21.79% 5,226 78.21% -3,770 -56.42% 6,682
Humphreys 1,075 31.34% 2,355 68.66% -1,280 -37.32% 3,430
Issaquena 304 51.09% 291 48.91% 13 2.18% 595
Itawamba 9,337 89.34% 1,114 10.66% 8,223 78.68% 10,451
Jackson 37,059 71.28% 14,932 28.72% 22,127 42.56% 51,991
Jasper 4,189 53.47% 3,646 46.53% 543 6.93% 7,835
Jefferson 693 20.83% 2,634 79.17% -1,941 -58.34% 3,327
Jefferson Davis 2,383 44.52% 2,970 55.48% -587 -10.97% 5,353
Jones 20,307 73.70% 7,246 26.30% 13,061 47.40% 27,553
Kemper 1,824 44.95% 2,234 55.05% -410 -10.10% 4,058
Lafayette 14,761 63.60% 8,447 36.40% 6,314 27.21% 23,208
Lamar 20,984 75.35% 6,863 24.65% 14,121 50.71% 27,847
Lauderdale 16,873 62.46% 10,139 37.54% 6,734 24.93% 27,012
Lawrence 4,137 68.90% 1,867 31.10% 2,270 37.81% 6,004
Leake 5,229 62.66% 3,116 37.34% 2,113 25.32% 8,345
Lee 24,415 70.22% 10,352 29.78% 14,063 40.45% 34,767
Leflore 3,111 33.30% 6,231 66.70% -3,120 -33.40% 9,342
Lincoln 11,599 73.98% 4,080 26.02% 7,519 47.96% 15,679
Lowndes 13,548 55.90% 10,690 44.10% 2,858 11.79% 24,238
Madison 34,181 61.74% 21,180 38.26% 13,001 23.48% 55,361
Marion 7,845 70.76% 3,241 29.24% 4,604 41.53% 11,086
Marshall 8,100 54.97% 6,634 45.03% 1,466 9.95% 14,734
Monroe 10,920 68.49% 5,025 31.51% 5,895 36.97% 15,945
Montgomery 2,671 61.42% 1,678 38.58% 993 22.83% 4,349
Neshoba 8,245 76.46% 2,539 23.54% 5,706 52.91% 10,784
Newton 6,657 72.21% 2,562 27.79% 4,095 44.42% 9,219
Noxubee 1,312 30.60% 2,975 69.40% -1,663 -38.79% 4,287
Oktibbeha 9,498 53.29% 8,325 46.71% 1,173 6.58% 17,823
Panola 8,374 58.35% 5,978 41.65% 2,396 16.69% 14,352
Pearl River 20,157 83.40% 4,012 16.60% 16,145 66.80% 24,169
Perry 4,412 80.20% 1,089 19.80% 3,323 60.41% 5,501
Pike 8,205 53.51% 7,130 46.49% 1,075 7.01% 15,335
Pontotoc 11,556 83.38% 2,304 16.62% 9,252 66.75% 13,860
Prentiss 8,504 83.20% 1,717 16.80% 6,787 66.40% 10,221
Quitman 952 36.88% 1,629 63.12% -677 -26.23% 2,581
Rankin 51,542 74.91% 17,267 25.09% 34,275 49.81% 68,809
Scott 6,122 62.46% 3,680 37.54% 2,442 24.91% 9,802
Sharkey 556 31.15% 1,229 68.85% -673 -37.70% 1,785
Simpson 7,556 69.04% 3,389 30.96% 4,167 38.07% 10,945
Smith 6,158 80.86% 1,458 19.14% 4,700 61.71% 7,616
Stone 6,282 80.62% 1,510 19.38% 4,772 61.24% 7,792
Sunflower 3,074 39.75% 4,659 60.25% -1,585 -20.50% 7,733
Tallahatchie 2,478 49.32% 2,546 50.68% -68 -1.35% 5,024
Tate 9,225 72.51% 3,498 27.49% 5,727 45.01% 12,723
Tippah 7,927 83.64% 1,550 16.36% 6,377 67.29% 9,477
Tishomingo 7,824 88.29% 1,038 11.71% 6,786 76.57% 8,862
Tunica 827 31.50% 1,798 68.50% -971 -36.99% 2,625
Union 10,484 85.49% 1,779 14.51% 8,705 70.99% 12,263
Walthall 4,158 64.20% 2,319 35.80% 1,839 28.39% 6,477
Warren 9,770 54.15% 8,272 45.85% 1,498 8.30% 18,042
Washington 4,926 34.37% 9,406 65.63% -4,480 -31.26% 14,332
Wayne 6,022 66.20% 3,075 33.80% 2,947 32.40% 9,097
Webster 4,203 83.11% 854 16.89% 3,349 66.23% 5,057
Wilkinson 1,136 39.92% 1,710 60.08% -574 -20.17% 2,846
Winston 4,937 58.94% 3,439 41.06% 1,498 17.88% 8,376
Yalobusha 3,609 61.67% 2,243 38.33% 1,366 23.34% 5,852
Yazoo 4,702 52.68% 4,223 47.32% 479 5.37% 8,925
Totals 763,420 62.81% 451,981 37.19% 311,439 25.62% 1,215,401

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Wicker won three of four congressional districts.[33]

District Wicker Pinkins Representative
1st 69% 31% Trent Kelly
2nd 42% 58% Bennie Thompson
3rd 66% 34% Michael Guest
4th 72% 28% Mike Ezell

Notes

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  1. ^ $27,560 of this total was self-funded by Burton
  2. ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Eubanks
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Would not vote" with 7%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Pinkins's campaign

References

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  1. ^ "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
  2. ^ Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023. Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.
  3. ^ Wolf, Stephen (November 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/14". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 14, 2023. Wicker recently drew a primary challenge from retired Marine Col. Ghannon Burton, but there's little indication yet whether the 16-year incumbent is actually in danger of losing renomination in this solidly red state.
  4. ^ Corder, Frank (June 19, 2023). "Senate 2024: Eubanks files to challenge Wicker". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  5. ^ a b Corder, Frank (February 29, 2024). "Trump Endorses Wicker for Re-Election". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  6. ^ a b "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. ^ a b "National Right to Life Endorses U.S. Senator Roger Wicker for Re-Election in Mississippi - National Right to Life". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  8. ^ a b "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Roger Wicker for U.S. Senate in Mississippi". www.uschamber.com. February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  10. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Mississippi". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  11. ^ "Mississippi Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Mississippi. March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  12. ^ DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
  13. ^ Vance, Taylor (January 8, 2024). "Brandon Presley, courted by national Democrats to run for U.S. Senate, will not run against Sen. Roger Wicker". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  14. ^ a b "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  15. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  16. ^ a b "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  17. ^ "2024 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State.
  18. ^ "TAGGART, JON M MR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  19. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  20. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  21. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  22. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  23. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  24. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  25. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  26. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  27. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  28. ^ Thomas, Sumati (October 6, 2024). "Ty Pinkins for US Senate - Public Memo - Oct 2024". Google Docs. Retrieved April 13, 2025.
  29. ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  30. ^ Watson, Michael (December 2, 2024). "Certification of Vote for United States Senate" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 15, 2025. Retrieved August 27, 2025.
  31. ^ Watson, Michael (November 5, 2024). "Statewide Recapitulation Report" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 11, 2025. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  32. ^ Watson, Michael (November 3, 2024). "Pike Updated" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 15, 2025. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  33. ^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::2a63d0b3-58db-4e59-9b3b-436b221e078a
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Official campaign websites

2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi
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